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G'day (and Buongiorno, as it’s my last Italian edition; special thanks to Simon Thomsen from Startup Daily for being my personal Duolingo) and welcome to your weekly edition of Overnight Success - your download on all the important things that have happened in the Aussie startup ecosystem. 🚀

👀 Headlines 👀

📉 Firmus has pulled its $7.9 billion ASX float, which would have valued the AI infrastructure company at $44 billion and been Australia's second-largest listing after Telstra, after demand for the shares evaporated late this week. It's now weighing private funding and a Nasdaq listing. (AFR, AFR)

  • The demand evaporated within two days after brokers said the book was covered at $11 per share. Investors were wary of loose lock-ups that would have allowed more than half of the register to sell on day one, last-minute disclosures, including the end of its CDC partnership, and a valuation resting on capacity that isn't built yet. Beyond existing backers, local fund managers showed little interest.

  • For all its size, Firmus has little to do with Australian venture capital. Its $4.7 billion in equity has come from global investors Coatue, Nvidia, Blackstone and Jane Street, and local listed-equity managers including Ellerston, Regal, Wilson Asset Management, Paradice and Tectonic, which first bought in 2021 when Firmus was still a bitcoin miner. None of the big local VCs is on the register; the closest from my research is 1941, a small national security fund run by Ellerston and Joe Hockey's Bondi Partners.

  • It does flatter this year's funding figures, making up $3.7 billion of the $6.8 billion Pheme has tracked so far in 2026 (see KaaS). The more likely knock-on for startups is a colder ASX IPO window. Sharon AI, for one, was waiting for Firmus to debut before starting its own dual listing (see Aussie Raisins below for more details here, too).

💰 Square Peg, one of Australia’s big 3 funds, has announced it’s raised more than $1 billion across two new funds, the largest raise in its 14-year history. (Forbes Australia)

  • About 40 per cent goes to Fund 6 for early-stage deals and 60 per cent to Opportunities Fund 3. The full history of its funds is in New Fund, Who Dis? below.

🧠 Heidi has signed a heads of agreement with Innovation Victoria to receive AI compute in exchange for equity, in what's believed to be the first deal of its kind in Australia. (Capital Brief)

  • The compute comes through ResetData's Australian AI Growth Program, part of a program designed by Nvidia, which ResetData revealed at the AI inquiry on Wednesday. Heidi and Innovation Victoria are its foundational partners. The deal value and size of the stake haven't been disclosed, and Heidi says nothing is final yet. Heidi was valued at $1.26 billion (US$900 million) in its Series C last month.

🏛️ A coalition of research groups, accelerators and incubators has written to Treasurer Jim Chalmers for the second time since the May budget, urging the government to drop or rework its proposed changes to the R&D Tax Incentive and the Innovative Business CGT Concession. (InnovationAus)

  • The 18-member group, led by AusBiotech and including Science & Technology Australia, ATSE and Cicada Innovations, wants the planned age limit on the refundable R&D offset scrapped altogether. It argues that deep tech companies often take more than 15 years to start earning revenue and depend on the refund as working capital, so a cut-off risks pushing later-stage development and manufacturing offshore.

  • Chalmers has already extended the limit from 10 to 15 years for therapeutics developers. If a limit stays, the group wants at least 20 years for life sciences and deep tech, matched in the IBCC, and none for companies running clinical trials. It also opposes dropping 'supporting' R&D activities from the scheme, estimating that would cut some life science companies' refunds by up to 60 per cent. (InnovationAus)

  • Tech lobby groups and tax advisers say the 10-year limit is harsher than it looks, because the clock starts when the company or anyone connected to it first went into business, not at its first R&D claim. A startup can inherit the age of its founders' past ventures or its investors, and RSM's Peter Xi estimates 80 to 90 per cent of his startup clients would never get 10 years of refunds, calling it "a no-year rule for many businesses". FinTech Australia, which wants the limit scrapped, says it would deter experienced founders, VCs and corporate venture arms. (InnovationAus)

🧠 Parliament's AI inquiry heard from the frontier labs this week, with Anthropic saying it would accept laws requiring AI companies to report security incidents, weeks after an OpenAI agent ‘breached’ Australia's main health portal. (InnovationAus)

📉 Culture Amp is cutting about 30 product roles as part of an AI-led restructure, while chief people officer Justin Angsuwat leaves to join Anthropic in San Francisco. (Capital Brief)

  • Culture Amp’s Engage and Perform product teams are being merged, with chief product officer Chris Mander saying the changes support new agentic experiences and faster delivery. General counsel Sarah Davoren has also left, and former Asana chief people officer Anna Binder has stepped down from the board.

  • It's the fourth round of cuts in three years, after about 90 roles in 2023, 60 in November 2025 and about 70 in July.

🌕 🦘 The latest prototype of Roo-ver, the Australian-built lunar rover headed for a 2030 NASA mission to the Moon's south pole, has been unveiled at QUT. (Startup Daily, The Australian)

  • The rover is being built by the Brisbane-based ELO₂ consortium, co-led by EPE Oceania and technical lead Lunar Outpost Oceania, alongside BHP, universities and deep tech startups, with about $42 million from the Australian Space Agency's Moon to Mars Initiative. Intuitive Machines, the American space exploration company, will deliver it to the Moon, where it will be operated from Australia and carry a NASA instrument to analyse lunar soil.

Inside the builder renaissance. Is your startup playing to win?

AI is rewriting the startup playbook. Ship in weeks what used to take years. If a small team can build almost anything, the real question is what's worth building, and who gets there first.

Alex Kantrowitz, founder of Big Technology, and Vanta's SVP of Engineering share patterns before they're conventional wisdom.

You'll learn:

  • How teams turn AI demos into production tools

  • How to build an edge before capital or headcount catch up

  • Which fundamentals still hold as everything else moves

Can't attend live? Register anyway for the recording.

⚡ Startup Retro ⚡

Metal raises nearly $50M seed to build stablecoin rails for banks and AI agents

Founders: Loong Wang, Catherine Porter

Metal, the stablecoin and tokenisation infrastructure startup co-founded by Melbourne entrepreneur Loong Wang and former Meta executive Catherine Porter, has raised almost $50 million in seed funding.

The round was co-led by Airwallex and its venture arm Capital 49, with angel investors also participating. Airwallex has also joined Metal as a design partner.

Metal announced the round in late June without disclosing its size. An SEC filing published in late September, under the name Nexus Networks, shows it had raised US$26.4 million (A$37.6 million) toward a US$32.5 million target by 11 September, with angel investors covering the remainder.

Metal is building infrastructure that lets banks and financial institutions move stablecoins across borders with built-in regulatory compliance checks, along with a network to handle payments made by AI agents.

Due Diligence: AFR, Dealroom

SQC leads six quantum startups sharing $12.3M in federal grants

Silicon Quantum Computing (SQC) has taken the largest share, $3.6 million, of $12.3 million in federal grants awarded to six quantum startups through Round 2, Stage 2 of the Critical Technologies Challenge Program.

The UNSW spinout, founded by Professor Michelle Simmons in 2017, will use the grant to expand its work with Schneider Electric and UNSW, pairing its Watermelon quantum-enhanced AI processor with Schneider's energy forecasting models. Initial testing of next-day forecasts on 12 months of data improved accuracy by 20 per cent on average against a conventional benchmark, with gains of up to 41 per cent. The next stage extends the modelling to hundreds of Australian homes.

SQC also received $60 million from the National Reconstruction Fund earlier this year, as part of a larger raise that is still underway.

Adelaide's QuantX Labs received $2.2 million to build and test a quantum clock that keeps electricity networks synchronised without external timing signals, working with Siemens and Swinburne University of Technology. It raised a $7 million seed round in June.

The other recipients are FeBI Technologies ($2.2 million, iron deficiency testing for First Nations people), Avicena Systems ($2 million, a quantum biosensor for border inspections), iQ Sense ($1.2 million, livestock health monitoring) and Q Factorial ($1.1 million, delivery and transport planning software).

💸 New Fund, Who Dis? 💸

💰 Square Peg has raised more than $1 billion across Fund 6 and Opportunities Fund 3, the largest raise since Paul Bassat and Tony Holt founded the firm in 2012. (Forbes Australia)

  • About 40 per cent goes to Fund 6 for early-stage investments and 60 per cent to Opportunities Fund 3, which backs larger companies inside and outside the portfolio. Square Peg hasn't disclosed the exact total or its LPs. It announced a $650 million first close in February and completed both final closes by July (Square Peg).

  • Square Peg says it has returned more than $1.4 billion to investors from exits in 19 companies since 2012, at a 41 per cent gross IRR, including sell-downs in Canva and Rokt and the sales of Bugcrowd, Deci.ai (to Nvidia) and PropertyGuru (to EQT). It backed Airwallex's Series A in 2017 and holds stakes in Stripe and Thinking Machines Lab.

    • 2012 to 2016: Square Peg invested deal by deal with high-net-worth backers, including early cheques into Canva (2013) and Stripe (2015).

    • 2017: Debut fund closes at $234 million (US$180 million), with Hostplus as cornerstone.

    • 2019: Second fund closes at $340 million (US$237 million). (AVCJ)

    • 2020: Third fund closes at $600 million, backed by Hostplus, AustralianSuper, Commonwealth Bank and Roc Partners, as it opens in Singapore.

    • 2022: Fund 4 and Opportunities Fund 2 close at $860 million (US$550 million), with up to a third earmarked for Israel.

    • 2026: Fund 6 and Opportunities Fund 3 top $1 billion.

🚀 Wins 🚀

🔫 It's been a big week for Aussie defence tech, with three startups landing deals with the Australian Army, the US Navy and Rheinmetall (German arms manufacturer).

  • Arkeus has secured an Australian Army order for its AI-powered Warden hyperspectral sensing systems, which will fly on the Army's Integrator drones. Warden processes sensor data onboard to detect, classify and track objects in real time. The value of the order wasn't disclosed, and it follows a $25 million Series A in May. (Defence Connect)

  • Perth's Chironix has won a $13.6 million (US$9.53 million) contract from the US Office of Naval Research for Project Guardian Daemon, which lets an autonomous vehicle monitor the shock, vibration and conditions affecting an injured passenger and adjust how it drives. It's the company's fourth consecutive ONR contract. (Defence Connect, Chironix)

  • Breaker has signed a teaming agreement with Rheinmetall to integrate its software into the Army's Boxer combat reconnaissance vehicles, letting crews direct teams of drones and other autonomous systems by voice. In a demonstration, one crew member with under 30 minutes of training commanded a drone swarm through a standard headset while driving. Breaker raised a $9 million seed round led by Bessemer, with Main Sequence, in February. (Defence Connect, Rheinmetall, Forbes Australia)

🛡️ Sydney quantum computing company Diraq has reached the final stage of DARPA's Quantum Benchmarking Initiative, securing an initial US$51 million (A$73 million) and up to US$300 million (A$430 million) if it hits its milestones. (InnovationAus, The Australian)

  • Diraq builds quantum computers from modified silicon transistors, the same building blocks used in everyday computer chips, with each qubit storing information in the spin of a single electron.

  • Diraq joins the likes of IBM, IonQ and Atom Computing in Stage C, alongside Microsoft and PsiQuantum, which entered through an earlier pilot. The first tranche funds 12 months of technical demonstrations as DARPA's team tests whether Diraq's silicon-based machines can be built and run as designed.

  • Founder and CEO Andrew Dzurak says Diraq is scaling on an existing manufacturing base, as its silicon spin qubits are compatible with conventional semiconductor production.

🎶 Sub Connect, founded by Narin Gayle, has launched from Byron Bay with a data layer for live music that maps which artists play which nights, in which rooms and with which crews.

  • Ticketing sites only list their own events, and streaming platforms only host recordings, so someone looking to find where to catch drum and bass live in Sydney this month has no comprehensive answer. Sub Connect builds its graph scene by scene from public listings, tracing every fact back to its source.

  • It already covers more than 2,000 nights, nearly 4,000 artists and more than 450 venues, starting in the Northern Rivers and on the Gold Coast. It's free for fans, with paid tools for promoters and artists from 7 November.

🤑 Aussie Raisins 🤑

💰 Swipejobs, the AI job-matching platform founded by Katrina Leslie in 2014, is road-testing a pitch to fund managers for a listing worth about $2 billion, and it got there without institutional venture capital. (AFR)

  • Leslie, a former HR executive at Westpac, Microsoft and BHP, bootstrapped Swipejobs until late 2020, then raised about $75 million in an unannounced round at a US$243 million valuation. Backers include Caledonia co-CIO Will Vicars (personally), Robert Whyte's Audant Investments, David Paradice and James Packer, with private equity firm Ironbridge also on the register. Leslie still owns almost 70 per cent, and Vicars says it hasn't raised equity in five years.

  • It now pitches itself as AI-native rather than labour hire, with the US and UK its main markets. It booked $1.39 billion in 2025, with about $178 million in net revenue and $71 million in EBITDA, and Barrenjoey, UBS, and Bank of America are working on the deal.

💰 Nasdaq-listed AI cloud provider Sharon AI has added Goldman Sachs to its advisers for a planned ASX dual listing. Sharon was planning to follow Firmus's debut; it’ll be interesting to watch what happens now that Firmus has been pulled. (The Australian)

  • Sharon AI is valued at about $2.6 billion (US$1.8 billion), up 85 per cent in six months, and has expanded its AI factory capacity to 212 megawatts, with more than 68,000 Nvidia GPUs expected by mid-2027. Macquarie Capital, Canaccord and Barrenjoey are also advising.

💰 M&A 💰

🤝 The ACCC has approved MUFG's acquisition of HESTA-backed superannuation administration tech company Grow Inc at a $78 million valuation, less than a third of the $250 million it was valued at last year. (AFR)

  • The regulator said Grow's ability to compete was weakened by its financial position and uncertain viability, following last year's botched migration of HESTA's member systems, which left about 1.1 million members unable to access online services for nearly six weeks.

  • Grow was burning about $3 million a month and lost $34 million last financial year. Most shareholders, including AirTree, will get little from the deal, while Series E investors, including HESTA, which put in up to $20 million earlier this year, will get their money back and some profit.

🔎 People Moves 🔍️

👤 DBG Health, the parent company of fitness app 28, has terminated all arrangements with co-founder Sam Wood after he was charged with two domestic violence offences. (SmartCompany, ABC)

  • Wood has been charged, not convicted, and his lawyer says the charges will be defended. 28 continues under COO Mark Watkin. Wood co-founded the business in 2016, and DBG Health-owned MyDNA bought it in 2022 for $71 million.

📆 Notice Board 📆

⚡ ARENA's Launchpad is offering early-stage clean energy startups grants of $500,000, plus top-ups of up to $500,000 for capital-intensive or deep tech projects. Applications close at 4 pm AEDT on Wednesday 28 October.

  • There's $15 million in this round. Applicants need an Australian-incorporated, for-profit company with technology at TRL 3 or above; university and research spinouts are eligible. Results are expected in mid-December. Apply here.

🏆 Entries are open for the InnovationAus Awards for Excellence 2027, which recognise companies turning Australian research into technology the industry can adopt. Early-bird entries close Friday 16 October and final entries Friday 30 October.

  • Categories include AI and Advanced Technologies, Defence and Dual-use Technology, HealthTech and Translation Hero. Early-bird entries cost $100 plus GST, and winners are announced at a gala dinner on 18 February. Enter here.

🧠 KaaS (Knowledge as a Service)

Will's Pick: The Baseline by Pheme

  • New research outfit Pheme, from Karen Chan (ex-Perennial) and James Guo (ex-eBay ANZ), has published its first quarterly funding report: $6.8 billion raised across the first three quarters, with Firmus alone accounting for $3.7 billion, or 55 per cent.

  • Strip Firmus out and funding is $3.1 billion across 164 companies, up 45 per cent, with the top five deals taking 68 per cent. AirTree did the most rounds (12), ahead of Main Sequence and the NRF (11 each).

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‘Til next time,

👋 Will